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Cloud vs Local: Complete Cost & Provider Comparison

The landscape has shifted. It's no longer "cloud vs local" -- it's "cloud AND local, each for what they do best."


Table of Contents


Cloud GPU Providers

Budget Tier (Cheapest)

Provider GPU $/hour Notes
Vast.ai RTX 3090 $0.11 Peer-to-peer marketplace. Cheapest but variable quality.
Vast.ai A100 80GB ~$0.50 Can be unreliable.
Vast.ai H100 80GB $1.49 Lowest H100 price anywhere.
TensorDock RTX 4090 $0.37 Good for inference on smaller models.
TensorDock A100 80GB $1.42 Solid budget option.
Salad RTX 3090 $0.11 Distributed consumer GPUs.
Fluence A100 80GB $0.80 Decentralized. Zero egress fees.

Mid-Range AI Providers

Provider GPU $/hour Notes
RunPod A100 80GB $1.74 Docker-first. Great templates.
RunPod H100 80GB $3.19 Secure cloud option.
Lambda Labs A100 80GB $1.10 No egress fees. Often sold out.
Thunder Compute A100 $0.78 Virtualized GPUs.

Enterprise Cloud

Provider GPU $/hour Notes
AWS EC2 P4d 8xA100 $21.95-40.97 Recently 33% price cut.
AWS EC2 P5 8xH100 ~$55.04 45% price reduction Jun 2025.
Azure H100 $6.98 Most expensive H100.
GCP Various Premium Good ML ecosystem.

Dedicated Monthly Servers

Provider GPU $/month Notes
Hetzner GEX44 RTX 4000 Ada ~$184 Cheapest dedicated GPU server. EU-based.
Hetzner GEX131 RTX PRO 6000 ~$940 Training-grade. Flexible hourly billing.
Contabo L40S $790 90% cheaper than AWS equivalent.

GPU Pricing Summary

GPU VRAM Cheapest Mid-Range Enterprise
RTX 3090 24GB $0.11/hr $0.20 N/A
RTX 4090 24GB $0.18/hr $0.37-0.44 N/A
A100 80GB 80GB $0.44/hr $1.10-1.74 $2.74-5.04
H100 80GB 80GB $1.49/hr $2.25-3.19 $5.95-6.98

Inference API Providers

No GPU management required. Call open-source models via API.

Provider Speed Cost/1M tokens Free Tier Best For
Groq 300+ tok/s $0.59 Yes (generous) Real-time, coding
Cerebras 969 tok/s (record) $0.10 (8B) Yes Bulk processing
DeepInfra Fast $0.08 Yes Budget inference
Together.ai 86 tok/s $0.88 (70B) $25 credit Fine-tuning + inference
Fireworks AI 68 tok/s $0.18-7.00 Yes Multimodal
SambaNova Fast Competitive Yes Enterprise
Replicate Varies Pay-per-run Yes Serverless
Novita AI Good $0.10 Yes 200+ models
OpenRouter Varies Pass-through No Unified access to all

Context: GPT-4o equivalent performance now costs ~$0.40/million tokens. Down from $20 in late 2022. A 50x price drop in 3 years.

When to Use APIs vs Self-Hosted

  • < 8,000 conversations/day: API is almost always cheaper
  • > 30M tokens/day: Self-hosted reaches cost parity within 1-4 months
  • For coding agents: API calls to frontier models (Claude, GPT-4o) are generally better quality than any self-hosted model

Mac-as-a-Service

You can rent Mac hardware in the cloud.

Provider Hardware Price Best For
MacStadium Mac Mini M4 $109-199/mo CI/CD, enterprise, long-term
MacStadium Mac Studio (Ultra) ~$599/mo Heavy workloads
MacinCloud Mac servers $1/hr or $25/mo Occasional use
JUUZ Mac Mini M2, Studio $49/mo (EU) Budget Mac cloud
AWS EC2 Mac Mac instances ~$25/day AWS ecosystem
Rent-a-Mac.io Mac Minis Varies Dedicated

Buy vs Rent Math

Mac Studio Ultra at $599/mo via MacStadium = $7,188/year. Buying one costs $5,600 one-time. Buying is cheaper after ~9 months.


Cost Comparisons

Scenario A: Running a 70B Model Daily (8 hrs/day)

Option Monthly Cost Annual Cost
Mac Studio M4 Max 128GB $0 (after $3,500 purchase) ~$292 amortized/yr
RunPod A100 80GB $417 $5,004
Vast.ai A100 $120 $1,440
TensorDock A100 $340 $4,080
Lambda Labs A100 $264 $3,168
Hetzner GEX44 dedicated $184 $2,208

Scenario B: Light Use (2 hrs/day)

Option Monthly Cost Annual Cost
Mac Studio M4 Max 128GB $0 (after $3,500) $292 amortized
RunPod A100 $104 $1,248
Vast.ai A100 $30 $360

Break-Even Points

  • Mac Mini M4 Pro 64GB ($2,000): Breaks even in 6-12 months vs $100+/mo cloud APIs
  • Mac Studio M4 Max 128GB ($3,500): Breaks even in 8-13 months vs cloud A100 at 8 hrs/day
  • Mac Studio M3 Ultra 512GB ($9,500): Breaks even in ~12-18 months vs cloud GPU at $8/hr

Enterprise Scale (Lenovo H100 Study)

Metric On-Premises AWS On-Demand AWS 3-Year Reserved
5-Year TCO (24/7) $871,912 $4,306,416 $2,362,812
Savings vs cloud -- $3.4M saved $1.5M saved

On-prem breaks even at just 5 hours/day usage vs on-demand cloud.


When to Use Cloud vs Local

Cloud Makes Sense When

  • You need frontier models (Claude Opus, GPT-4o, Gemini Ultra) -- they're cloud-only
  • Training large models (NVIDIA H100/B200 clusters)
  • Burst workloads -- need 100 GPUs for 3 days, then nothing
  • You lack IT staff to manage hardware
  • Rapid prototyping -- try before committing
  • Global serving -- need low latency worldwide

Local Makes Sense When

  • Running inference on known models 24/7
  • Data privacy is critical (healthcare, finance, legal, government)
  • Predictable, steady workloads (math favors local)
  • Low latency required (no network round-trip)
  • Want to avoid vendor lock-in and API deprecations
  • Total cost of ownership over 2+ years matters

The Pragmatic Hybrid (What Most Teams Do)

  1. Local model (Ollama + Qwen3-Coder or GLM-4.7) for autocomplete, quick questions, private data, iteration
  2. Cloud model (Claude Opus/Sonnet, GPT-4o) for complex multi-file coding, architecture, heavy reasoning
  3. Inference API (Groq free tier, DeepInfra) for cheap bulk queries

The Repatriation Trend

Major shift happening in 2025-2026:

  • 86% of CIOs planned to repatriate some cloud workloads (Barclays CIO Survey)
  • 83% of enterprise CIOs plan to bring at least some workloads on-premise
  • Only 8-9% plan full repatriation -- most go hybrid

Top reasons: 1. Cost -- cloud GPU costs are staggering at scale 2. Security/Privacy -- sensitive data leaving the organization 3. Latency -- network round-trip adds 50-200ms 4. Control -- vendor lock-in, unpredictable pricing 5. Regulatory compliance -- data residency requirements

The Mac Mini buying frenzy (triggered partly by OpenClaw/Clawdbot going viral) is the consumer/SMB version of this enterprise trend.


Recommendations by Use Case

Need Best Path Monthly Cost
Best coding quality Claude Code (Anthropic API) $20-200
Cheapest queries Inference APIs (Groq free tier) $0-20
Run your own models Mac Mini M4 Pro 64GB + Ollama $0 after $2K purchase
Cloud GPU flexibility RunPod or TensorDock A100 $85-417
Privacy/compliance Self-hosted on Hetzner $184
Enterprise at scale On-prem H100 cluster High upfront, saves millions over 5yr